UConn
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 74.4070Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Cen Conn 59-13 906 A Syracuse ACC ( 3- 9, 68.6) 20-27 913 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 41-44 920 H Ball St MIDA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 31-25 927 A Buffalo MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.3) 20-17 1004 H Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 51-10 1018 A Boston Col ` ACC ( 3- 9, 69.1) 38-23 1025 A Rice AME ( 6- 7, 68.8) 34-37 1101 H UAB AME ( 4- 8, 68.2) 38-19 1108 H Duke ACC ( 9- 5, 81.2) 37-34 1115 H Air Force MIDW ( 5- 8, 72.4) 26-16 1122 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 48-45 1227 N Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 16-41
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Syracuse 20-27 -7 1 --- -7.54
913 A Delaware 41-44 -3 -1 -1.67
920 H Ball St 31-25 6 15 --- -8.00
927 A Buffalo 20-17 3 5 -1.83
1004 H Florida Intl 51-10 41 9 ++ 5.10
1018 A Boston Col ` 38-23 15 0 +++ 13.99
1025 A Rice 34-37 -3 0 - -3.34
1101 H UAB 38-19 19 11 + 2.57
1108 H Duke 37-34 3 -1 ++ 4.49
1115 H Air Force 26-16 10 7 + 2.72
1122 A Fla Atlantic 48-45 3 -1 ++ 4.09
1227 N Army 16-41 -25 -4 --- -10.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 906 A Syracuse 20-27 -7 1 --- -7.54 920 H Ball St 31-25 6 15 --- -8.00 1227 N Army 16-41 -25 -4 --- -10.02 1025 A Rice 34-37 -3 0 - -3.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Boston Col ` 38-23 15 0 +++ 13.99 1004 H Florida Intl 51-10 41 9 ++ 5.10 1108 H Duke 37-34 3 -1 ++ 4.49 1122 A Fla Atlantic 48-45 3 -1 ++ 4.09 1101 H UAB 38-19 19 11 + 2.57 1115 H Air Force 26-16 10 7 + 2.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Syracuse ( 3- 9, 68.6) 20-27 -31.29 19.93 5.26 1.06 -13.83
3 A Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 41-44 -29.42 21.80 5.26 1.06 -12.84
3 H Ball St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 31-25 -34.82 16.40 -5.26 1.06 23.68
3 A Buffalo ( 5- 7, 64.3) 20-17 -35.58 15.64 5.26 1.06 44.40
3 H Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 51-10 -29.13 22.09 -5.26 1.06 35.76
3 A Boston Col ` ( 3- 9, 69.1) 38-23 -30.76 20.46 5.26 1.06 54.65
3 A Rice ( 6- 7, 68.8) 34-37 -31.09 20.13 5.26 1.06 -13.72
3 H UAB ( 4- 8, 68.2) 38-19 -31.66 19.56 -5.26 1.06 30.38
3 H Duke ( 9- 5, 81.2) 37-34 -18.74 32.48 -5.26 1.06 57.83
3 H Air Force ( 5- 8, 72.4) 26-16 -27.51 23.71 -5.26 1.06 39.21
3 A Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 48-45 -29.66 21.56 5.26 1.06 56.99
3 N Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 16-41 -21.51 29.71 -0.00 1.06 -11.43
------
291.09
|
winning pts = 342.9041 losing points = -51.8119
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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